Is there any capacity left? This question frequently arises in the power grid when more solar and wind power plants want to feed energy into the grid in good weather conditions. Grid operators need reliable forecasts to be able to correctly assess the situation in the grid. The assumptions regarding grid utilization have so far been based mainly on the calculated expected value.
A new generation of tools make these assumptions much more accurate: Probabilistic grid condition forecasting additionally considers different weather models and assesses their probability using a neural network, also taking improbable but highly relevant events into account. This makes it easier for grid operators to plan the current and future grid operation.